Tuesday, August 20, 2013

I Thought About Debt for A While and I Wondered: Why is it Still Here?

    So I was thinking about debt and thinking about policy and these kinds of questions recently.  Part of this is brought about by our current policy debate with respect to the debt and how to handle it.  Part of it is my own success at conquering my own student debt, especially when so many of my current generation grapple with the reality of student loan debt.  Debt is certainly a serious topic of discussion and one that is worth thinking about how we wish to grapple with it.  How we as a country choose to handle debt is going to dictate our current policy along with future policy.  Whether those policies deal with the welfare state or whether it is tax policy, rhetoric featuring the debt is likely to play a role at the very least.  Given those reasons, it is not unreasonable to think about debt or want to talk about it.  At the same time, it makes me wonder why we still have debt, or rather, why sovereign nations still choose to run debt.

    First, let me say that I don't have a real issue with our current debt policy as it stands.  I'm not concerned that it's going to eat us alive or murder our children while we watch.  I understand that there are times in peoples lives where debt is necessary.  Student loans are an excellent example of one.  Your earning potential is lower at age eighteen with only a high school diploma than it is after 4 years of college.  At least, that was the case when the economy was good.  It still is the case, just not as readily apparent.  People also go into debt when they purchase a home via a mortgage.  This too can be a sound practice as a home can build equity and over the lifetime of its use can outweigh the initial debt incurred.  You get a house in between those two events so it's even better.  These are just two instances of debt that can be useful in addition to the various times we use credit cards and the like.  I feel like a lot of the moralizing about debt obscures the fact that it can be very useful in our own lives.  I also mention these examples to show that households, like governments, will go into debt at different points and do not always balance their incomes and expenses every single year.  Having said that, I've begun to wonder why sovereign nations go into debt nowadays.

    One reason I have to go into debt when making certain purchases is that I can't print money to give to people.  It's illegal.  At the same time, the United States is not under those same constrictions.  The US government is the sole source of dollar bills in the world, and those dollars are suitable for the paying of all debts public and private.  It seems to me that if the Federal Government wanted to make up for the difference between revenues and expenses, it could just print money of that amount if it wanted to.  There's no law barring it, the Constitution would be fine with it, and the money would be legal tender that people are required to accept, it would still function as a medium of exchange.  So why is it that at the end of the fiscal year, when tax revenues do not match congressional outlays, the Federal Government has to issue debt to make up the difference?  Here's the answer the government gives to kids, not satisfying to me.

    I'm sure whoever is reading this might think I'm taking crazy pills.  Of course the government has to use debt, it can't just print money and give it to people and expect them think it's worth anything.  The problem with that statement is that it's exactly what the US government and governments around the world have been doing for roughly 40-50 years.  (I suppose libertarians could complain about this but I don't see them not accepting the money given to them.) The US has been doing it since 1971 when Nixon cancelled the direct convertibility of dollars to an equal amount of gold.  Every major world currency from the dollar to the pound to the euro to the yen to the renminbi is fiat.  So yes, the government prints money and distributes it through the economy for people to spend on goods and services.  People keep accepting it and don't seem too concerned about its source.  So if we accept that money, and it's good for paying off debt and all that good stuff, why don't we just print it when we have deficits.

    Part of this is due to history.  Though fiat currency dates back to 11th Century China, most nations had backed currency for most of their history.  By backed currency, I mean that they could be exchanged for a set amount of gold or silver(usually).   In those conditions, more money couldn't be created because there was a finite supply of whatever was backing it.  It could be the case that sovereign nations with their own currency keep debt out of habit.  It could be the case that they don't simply want to print a bunch of money for fear that it might alienate current creditors, though that seems like a weird concern given that they could print their own money rather than take out a loan.  Debt may still be necessary for international transactions because while printed money is good in their respective countries, it may not be accepted in other places.  This last argument may be off the mark considering the fact that China saw an uptick in the use of US dollars in 2013. It could be the case that governments want to prevent inflation by avoiding the mass printing of money.  This seems like it could be right, but then it ignores the fact that debt is just cash by other means.  So if pumping a bunch of freshly minted money into the economy is going to cause inflation so would pumping a bunch of borrowed money.  It could be the case that the US government, and others, wants to keep a system of debt and taxation to control for inflation and that's really the best guess I have at this point. 

    I'm sure there is an academic answer out there somewhere.  Modern Monetary Theory might have an answer but I can't find it.  When I look to the internet with this question, I'm often bombarded with talk of hyperinflation and how we should just switch to gold.  I pretty much ignore those kinds of sites because they aren't going to answer the question I have.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

We Really Let Ourselves Go

    This occurred some time ago, but it's been sticking in my head for awhile.  Take a look at the following video:

    On its surface, it's a cool look to the past at a great show in Soul Train merged with the modern music of Daft Punk.  Many things could be said about the timelessness of cool or  that modern music is nothing more than the appropriation of the past, but the first thing that struck me was that everyone in this video is quite thin.  I know that we're supposed to be bombarded with images of thinness causing eating disorders and what with all the concern over obesity being on the rise, saying that people in the past were thin is no great revelatory statement.  I think about myself sometimes when I think about fitness.  I am 6'0'' and 175 lbs.  My BMI comes in at the normal range of 23.7.  If you were to see me walking around the street you would probably think nothing of my weight and probably consider me to be quite thin, if a little ill-defined and possibly flabby.  Throw me in the Soul Train Gang and I suddenly become overweight, hell, they might just call me fat. (Part of my weight is that I like beer and eating fast food occasionally, sometimes more than occasionally.  I should change that but I enjoy them quite a bit.)

    I'm not sure how I'm supposed to feel about the changes to thinness in America.  Obesity is really an issue that we should grapple with due to the numerous health implications that stem from it.  At the same time, how?  Everything is getting fatter.  Not to mention that we, as humans, appear to suck at staying thin.  A lot of changes have been made to our lifestyles that has led to our packing on the pounds.  We're more sedentary, we spend more time in front of computers or televisions, we eat a bunch of junk.  In order to turn this from your standard blog post about weight I felt the need to explore some mental exercises.  You see, when someone on the internet talks about weight or obesity there are only a hand full of ways that it can go.  I have to call us a nation of fatties and talk about diet and exercise or I have to talk about how our fixation with obesity is undermining people's health by inducing eating disorders.  I'm going to try avoiding those responses because there are places to read about that elsewhere.  Neither statement is without some validity, I just don't feel like writing about them. 

   I guess when I think about  weight loss in the United States I generally think that there needs to be some sort of policy solution.  I say this for the same reason I support various policies regarding social insurance.  I have a sense that while it is indeed possible on an individual level to persevere and triumph over the various adversities that arise in life, we kind of suck at it and tend to fail on a rather large scale.  For instance, it is indeed possible to properly save for a retirement but it is exceedingly difficult and many fail to.  Hence my support of Social Security.  I could be convinced that some kind of similar policy solution may be needed with respect to obesity.  The policy itself could not be the same as insurance because I don't see how one could insure against obesity, but there could be some solutions to take at the national policy level. 

    One step that could be taken could be with regards to how we actually produce food.  I know picking on factory farming and GMOs is always popular, that's not the direction I am necessarily heading in.  There's been a fair amount of news recently that showed that food companies have gone to great lengths to scientifically engineer food to be even better to us.  For all of the remarks people have made about fast food or junk food, it does have a certain appeal to it that is hard to replicate.  No matter how much I like my own homemade milkshakes with almond milk and reduced fat ice cream, they're still not quite like a shamrock shake.  The food is good, and it is designed to make us want more.  While it seems weird that we should attempt to halt businesses from improving their product, it also seems like their improvements have done demonstrable harm to people's health.  We already take steps to limit the health impact of cigarettes, alcohol, gambling, and soft drinks, will junk food join it next?  I can't say that I would be totally opposed to some kind of plan to limit the access of junk food or push/make companies into changing how they produce it.  We could conceivably come up with policies that rewarded health and fitness.  We have policies that reward home ownership, marriage, and fecundity. 

    I think many will object to this kind of policy plan because it seems like another imposition on individual autonomy by paternalistic forces.  You can look at the reaction to Mayor Bloomberg's plan to tax large fountain drinks.  I also think that people generally feel that fatness, more so than alcoholism, smoking, or gambling is a sign that you lack self control.  Obesity is a punishment that is visited upon the idle and the indolent.  While this could very well be true, I just don't see life as a morality play.  If given the option, people are going to continue eating junk food and grow fat largely because they cannot help themselves.  The control necessary for a sustained plan of diet and exercise is probably beyond many people's grasp because it requires such a total change.  People who are on successful and sustained diet and exercise regimes bear the hallmark of Born-Again Christians.  Not exactly a large group.  Instead of dooming people to a life of heart disease and diabetes, it would be better to intervene on the food production line.  As a final point, I doubt those dancers on Soul Train were on a diet. 

Monday, August 12, 2013

Blogging is Hard and I Should Try Harder


    I've been on hiatus for quite some time and that's largely been because I've opted to do other things with my time.  I still thought about politics and I still had opinions that I voiced in a ranting like manner, I just never posted anything because I just didn't.  Blogging is a difficult habit to get into and, like so many other things, once the initial passion fades you quit.  I want to get back though. I need to practice writing. I need to find and hone my voice as a writer, as well as my mind as a thinker.  It's not like I stopped looking at blogs or focusing on the news, I'm actually kind of surprised at how much time I'll spend reading the blogs of others and come away with new thoughts.  I just generally read those things and then proceed to pace around the house thinking aloud looking for all intents and purposes like a crazy person.  (As an aside, I think we could make the mentally ill look more sane by providing them wooden pipes and glasses with a book thrown in for affect. )

    When it comes to blogging there is much that seems so easy to access.  You could basically make a blog at the drop of a hat and Google has a fair amount of neat features that makes it easy to actually create a non-crappy blog with all kinds of bells and whistles.  Simultaneously, it seems like there are so many blogs out there that are of dubious quality that it should be easy to just pick up the keyboard and become an internet sensation with a reasonable level of talent.  Then you realize that actually being able to write and have something that is worth reading can be really hard.  People have taste.  Simultaneously there are bloggers out there who are sublime.  (Aside part two, how did he find himself on the transformational study abroad trip.  Makes mine look like crap.  He has these profound observations on the nature of himself and his role in the universe, I got white supremacists.) They write poetically, they write cogently, they have recipes that are delicious.  All kinds of cool things happen in the blogosphere and it can be disheartening to try to make one's voice heard in the raucous arena of the internet.  So much of it is so vast that something good may never be found and when you find something captivating you may not want to wade through the dreck of cyberspace to find something else.  We choose our internet hang outs and stick to them much like we would in real life. 

    At the end of the day, I want to write more.  I want to have some kind of portfolio of my thoughts and arguments.  Looking back at my earlier writing, I also want to be less of a hack.  I have this lofty ideal of my own intellectual prowess but going over my old posts, well, they're less than inspiring.  In addition, my brother-in-law started a blog and I'm nothing if not competitive.  I will bury him under my prose!